HAVE SPECIAL EVENTS BECOME AN UNEXPECTED
CASUALTY OF THE PANDEMIC?
Certainly not – the show must (always) go on. The pandemic has taken its toll on assembly and the impact may not yet be fully behind us. But the fundamental human need to gather is surging everywhere you look; dinning-out (and in), sports, concerts. Traditional 'performing arts' have been slower to rebound due mostly to demographics and higher-density seating. With a financial model that nominally requires 55% - 60% capacity to break-even, the road back to prosperity for them will likely have some potholes.
For those utilizing 'special events' as part of their marketing mix, precise timing is the only real issue. Too early could be perceived as insensitive, too late risks losing a considerable 'first-mover' advantage. Generally, events have an advantage over most other group activities – more space. Unlike restaurants, arenas and concert venues, events allow patrons to maintain reasonable social distance. And, at time of writing, there are no known cases of outdoor transmission (according to the U.S. Centers for Disease Control and Prevention).
Little was known about COVID in the early stages of the pandemic, leading to a good deal of fear and considerable misinformation, much of which stubbornly persists. However, in this context facts and relevance are of little importance. People act and re-act based on their beliefs, whether true or otherwise.
It would be foolhardy attempting to offer a timeline for the resumption normalcy, or at least a 'new normal'. The virus and the public psyche move at their own pace. But over the last few weeks there has been a decided mood-shift; perhaps because of immunization, PPE, herd immunity or possibly even fatigue. Whatever the reason, people seem ready to immerge from the malaise and begin looking forward.
Economist and Nobel Laureate the late Milton Friedman once said, “only a crisis - actual or perceived - produces real change..." For most, COVID was and is just such a crisis. He went on to say "the actions that are taken depend on the ideas that are lying around". To paraphrase, the future favours the prepared.
As we emerge from the depths of gloom and uncertainty, considerable shifts in public perception are possible, even probable. The experts cannot agree on what will happen next, or when, but the unmistakable ether of change is in the air. Collective belief is a very potent force. It can make the unremarkable, famous, create enormous wealth and foment seismic social change. We are certainly not qualified to offer any scientific analysis of the contagion but the current 'winds of change', plus years of experience, suggest that now is the time for planning.

